The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Luiz 27.8%
Draw 35.1%
Náutico Marcílio Dias 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
26.3%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
25.8%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Da Silva ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Da Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Recent performances by São Luiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Marcílio Dias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Marcílio Dias could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Watch
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