Match Info

Date: 21 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Rio Branco PR

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.5	7.5
	1.43	3.9	6.4
	1.41	3.95	6.64
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.44	4.05	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	3.78 ↑ (3.72)	6.96 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
63.1%

Draw
23.9%

Rio Branco PR
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

23.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

13.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rio Branco PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco PR than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco PR could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rio Branco PR is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Marcílio Dias is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marcílio Dias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.21	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
31.07.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
24.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTTL
- Rio Branco PR
Brazilian Serie D
15.08.21	Rio Branco PR - Grêmio Juventus	2:2 ✺
07.08.21	Joinville - Rio Branco PR	3:0 ✺
01.08.21	Rio Branco PR - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
24.07.21	FC Cascavel - Rio Branco PR	3:1 ✺
18.07.21	Rio Branco PR - FC Cascavel	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.06.21	Rio Branco PR - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Rio Branco PR

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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