Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.4	2.87	3.38
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.28	3.06	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
39.6%

Draw
31.1%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esportivo Bento Gonçalves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Joinville - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
17.07.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Joinville	0:1 ✺
10.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	FC Cascavel - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLT
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
10.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Náutico Marcílio Dias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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