Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Næstved BK		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	5	3.9	1.57
	4.95	4.15	1.6
	5.55	4.23	1.59
	5.23	4.22	1.61
	5.8	4.2	1.4	Watch
	5.35	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↓ (6.01)	4.11 ↓ (4.32)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næstved BK
17.6%

Draw
22.7%

Aalborg BK
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

21.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.2%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Næstved BK - Aalborg BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Aalborg will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dannevang N. (G) 6. Enemark C. 22. Overgaard C. J. 4. Bust L. 5. Host M. 90. Carlson M. 8. Kongstedt M. 32. Holm M. 10. Dhaflaoui S. 9. Christensen F. 23. Ellegaard F.	1. Posavec J. (G) 4. Kramer L. 26. Thelander R. 34. Otoa S. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 32. Bomholt M. 14. Hojholt M. 15. Caballo D. 23. Bakiz Y. 38. Ross O. 8. Widell M.
Substitutes
2. Banda P. 15. Friedrich C. 24. Kjaer Mikkelsen V. 11. Ladefoged M. 14. Madsen J. 12. Madsen S. 28. Pyne-Cole G. 20. Rygaard B. 18. Schou M. (G)	3. Ahlmann J. 10. Andersen L. 45. Arnorsson N. 22. De Boer R. (G) 6. Ferreira P. 9. Helenius N. 16. Odada R. 11. Prica T. 17. Toku E.
Coaches
Braune P.	Hiljemark O.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Næstved is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalborg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aalborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aalborg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Næstved won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Næstved won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næstved BK
Danish 1 Division
06.11.23	Hillerød - Næstved BK	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Næstved BK - Vendsyssel	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	HB Køge - Næstved BK	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Hansa Rostock - Næstved BK	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
08.10.23	Næstved BK - Hobro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLW
- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
05.11.23	Aalborg BK - Helsingør	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Kolding IF - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Aalborg BK - B.93 Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	1:4 ✺
29.09.23	Vendsyssel - Aalborg BK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
18.08.23	Aalborg BK - Næstved BK	1:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
14.03.19	Næstved BK - Aalborg BK	1:3

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