Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Caen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.25	3.05	2.28
	3.15	3.05	2.24
	3.45	3.15	2.34
	3.3	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	2.27 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
28.6%

Draw
30.3%

Caen
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caen's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Nîmes - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Caen will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Nîmes has the most likely position - 8 (6.58%), has project points - 50, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Caen has the most likely position - 3 (7.92%), has project points - 54, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 27, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2.

Caen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:1
09.07.22	Annecy - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Toulouse - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:2 ✺
07.05.22	Toulouse - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SM Caen
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Caen - Rennes	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Caen - Nantes	0:2
12.07.22	Caen - Le Mans	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Rodez - Caen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.02.22	Caen - Nîmes	4:0
28.08.21	Nîmes - Caen	0:0
French Ligue 1
06.04.19	Nîmes - Caen	2:0
05.12.18	Caen - Nîmes	1:2
French Ligue 2
13.05.14	Caen - Nîmes	1:1
05.10.13	Nîmes - Caen	2:1
01.02.13	Caen - Nîmes	1:0

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