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Current Win Probability
Caen 45.6%
Draw 28.6%
Ajaccio 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
27.9%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
29.1%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caen's performance.
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96%
0%
4%
Caen - Ajaccio Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 24 - 96%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 88.3% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 6. M'Vila Y. 10. Brahimi B. 61. Traore B. 7. Gomis T. 17. Kyeremeh G. 19. Mendy A.
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 31. Ayessa J. 5. Vidal C. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 6. Mangani T. (C) 99. Santelli B. 22. Soumano M. 7. Touzghar Y.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 4. Henry V. 8. Le Bihan M. 20. Lebreton N. 37. Milliner L. 14. Rajot L.
88. Bamba A. 21. Chegra I. 9. Ibayi C. 27. Kante A. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 23. Strata T.
Coaches
Seube N.
Chabert M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ayessa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Anziani J. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
64', Santelli B. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
70', Touzghar Y. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
71', Gomis T. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
71', Bolumbu D. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
77', Henry V. 🟨,
79', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Brahimi B. ⚽,
84', Mangani T. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
85', Youssouf M. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
85', Soumano M. 🟨,
86', Mendy A. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
87', Brahimi B. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 3.
Caen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ajaccio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Caen will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Caen won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-1.