Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rodez		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.5
	1.88	3.7	3.75
	1.84	3.88	3.81	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.88	3.84	3.85	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	3.7 ↑ (3.66)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
49.5%

Draw
25.4%

Caen
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rodez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Rodez - Caen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rodez will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodez will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 11. Bouchouari M. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 2. Vandenabeele E. 15. Cissokho T. (C) 28. Abdallah A. 27. Trouillet A. 5. Cadiou N. 10. Taibi W. 9. Nkada T. 22. Bentayeb T.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 25. Sy L. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 61. Traore B. 27. Gaudin J. 24. Benrahou Y. 20. Lebreton N. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 21. Grandsir S. 19. Mendy A. 17. Kyeremeh G.
Substitutes
7. Achi Bouakline M. 18. Balde I. 25. Galves N. 3. Lipinski R. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 8. Younoussa W.	23. Autret M. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 4. Henry V. 8. Le Bihan M. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 50. Najim I. 14. Rajot L.
Coaches
Santini D.	Der Zakarian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Nkada T. ⚽, Bouchouari M. (A),
58', Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
73', Abdallah A. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
73', Bouchouari M. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
80', Cissokho T. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Benrahou Y. (A),
83', Benrahou Y. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
85', Cadiou N. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
85', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
87', Gaudin J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Balde I. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
90+2', Le Bihan M. 🟥,
90+7', Gaudin J. ↓, Henry V. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.

Recent matches Rodez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rodez will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Mambo S. (Injury) Pelon A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Caen: Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Caen: Brahimi B. (Injury) Coulibaly K. (Inactive) Gaudin J. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rodez won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
04.04.25	Rodez - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Annecy - Rodez	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Lorient - Rodez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
05.04.25	Caen - Metz	2:2 ✺
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
14.03.25	Amiens - Caen	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Caen - Laval	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Clermont - Caen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Caen - Rodez	3:3
13.04.24	Caen - Rodez	1:0
07.10.23	Rodez - Caen	5:3
11.03.23	Rodez - Caen	3:2
22.10.22	Caen - Rodez	2:0
14.05.22	Rodez - Caen	2:0
24.07.21	Caen - Rodez	4:0

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