Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United		Elva

	1	X	2
	1.09	8.1	13.5	Watch
	1.07	9.52	14.47
	1.20	6.89	8.62	Watch
	1.1	7.5	14.2
	1.08	8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↑ (1.09)	8 ↓ (8.7)	12.56 ↓ (13.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
81.5%

Draw
11.3%

Elva
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.1%

10.4%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nõmme United - Elva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Elva (2.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Nõmme United (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 3 - 60%). Elva (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lagus G. (G) 23. Laanelaid K. 55. Chanda R. 6. Palts M. 3. Merilai S. 10. Frolov A. (C) 14. Vassiljev N. 8. Vain B. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 16. Dacosta O. 11. Chisala B.	1. Kruus K. (G) 36. Ilves E. 6. Kutt V. 23. Lindmae R. 55. Lani G. 27. Laaneots D. 15. Jaagant R. 21. Prii R. 4. Bangura A. 16. Thomson M. 18. Poldsaar K. (C)
Substitutes
4. Alteberg A. 92. Kokka K. 20. Matas K. 79. Ossep L. 9. Ounapuu E. 71. Purg G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 28. Salmistu S. 13. Truuvaart A.	14. Haabma K. 32. Kakk A. (G) 19. Kruusla G. 26. Kubber E. 30. Prii R. 10. Reilson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Dacosta O. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Truuvaart A. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Truuvaart A. ⚽,
83', 5 - 0, Vain B. ⚽,

Preview

Nõmme United is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Meistriliiga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 5.

Nõmme United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Elva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nõmme United has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nõmme United is the obvious favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 2.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
06.11.25	Flora U21 - Nõmme United	1:5 ✺
03.11.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	3:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	0:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
26.10.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	8:0 ✺
23.10.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWW
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
02.11.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Tartu Welco - Elva	3:2 ✺
23.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
13.09.25	Elva - Nõmme United	1:4
28.06.25	Nõmme United - Elva	4:1
17.04.25	Elva - Nõmme United	0:2
12.11.23	Elva - Nõmme United	0:7
16.09.23	Nõmme United - Elva	5:2
29.05.23	Elva - Nõmme United	0:2
21.04.23	Nõmme United - Elva	1:1

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