The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tartu Welco 46.4%
Draw 24%
Elva 29.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.4%
21.6%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
23.1%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tartu Welco's form might have worsened.
Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elva's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tartu Welco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tartu Welco - Elva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Malki U. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Veensalu E. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Kablik H. ⚽, Laasner K. (A),
90', 4 - 0, Kiivit A. ⚽, Mottus E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 3.
Tartu Welco has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Elva is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tartu Welco carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tartu Welco has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:38 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tartu Welco against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:19 goals (averaging 1.6:1.9 per game).
Estonia
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