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Current Win Probability
Nõmme United 42.2%
Draw 24.4%
Harju JK Laagri 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
23.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
23.4%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Nõmme United - Harju JK Laagri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Purg G. (G) 50. Geiger S. 2. Morishige Y. 55. Chanda R. 4. Alteberg A. 10. Frolov A. (C) 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 20. Matas K. 11. Chisala B.
1. Vainula J. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 3. Kaevats A. 24. Laur K. 22. Kesa M. 66. Roomussaar K. 88. Seck M. 7. Reimaa R. 19. Binate A. 9. Eerme K. 16. Kriis K. (C)
Substitutes
16. Dacosta O. 31. Kaspar A. 23. Laanelaid K. 1. Lagus G. (G) 27. Miil M. 6. Palts M. 22. Radomskiy A. 7. Torres A. 13. Truuvaart A.
10. Assale Y. E. 18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 17. Kelement M. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 23. Rudenko Daniil 13. Salei S. 95. Suppi S. 20. Vaher A.
Coaches
Cisakowski S.
Nuuma L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Chisala B. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Kriis K. ⚽,
42', Binate A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽, Chisala B. (A),
56', Alteberg A. 🟨,
58', Palutaja H. ↓, Rudenko Daniil ↑,
64', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
64', Kesa M. ↓, Kelement M. ↑,
64', Roomussaar K. ↓, Bah I. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Eerme K. ⚽, Laur K. (A),
69', Geiger S. ↓, Palts M. ↑,
79', Morishige Y. ↓, Dacosta O. ↑,
79', Matas K. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
79', Chisala B. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
82', Binate A. ↓, Assale Y. E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 2.
Nõmme United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Harju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nõmme United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.9:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).