Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
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Norway	Viaplay
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Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.7	2.1
	3	3.55	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.76	2.24
	3.50	3.48	2.04	Watch
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.09	3.74	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	2.14 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
29.9%

Draw
26%

Paderborn
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.1%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Nürnberg - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reichert J. (G) 32. Janisch T. 4. Gruber F. 24. Lochoshvili L. 8. Koudossou H. 10. Justvan J. 25. Becker F. O. 18. Lubach R. 21. Yilmaz B. 23. Zoma M. A. 9. Telalovic S.	41. Seimen D. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 6. Engelns L. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 14. Baur M. 39. Grimaldi A.
Substitutes
5. Baack T. 7. Biron M. 28. Buchmann T. 17. Chaikhoun A. 19. Grzywacz E. 31. Knoche R. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 11. Stepanov A. 27. von der Hitz J.	9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L. 22. Hansen M. 26. Klaas S. 11. Michel S. 1. Schubert M. (G) 27. Tigges S. 18. Worner M. 32. Yalcin K.
Coaches
Klose M.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Telalovic S. 🟨,
43', Gotze F. 🟨,
45+4', Engelns L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Janisch T. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
60', Hoffmeier M. 🟨,
63', Tigges S. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
63', Engelns L. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
67', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
67', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
70', Gruber F. 🟨,
72', Justvan J. 🟨,
76', Telalovic S. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
84', Michel S. 🟨,
90+3', Hoffmeier M. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
90+5', Becker F. O. ↓, Baack T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.

Nürnberg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paderborn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Nürnberg: Janisch T. (Illness)

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Tigges S. (Inactive)

We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
22.08.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Elversberg - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Nürnberg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Viktoria Köln - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.04.25	Nürnberg - Paderborn	2:3
22.11.24	Paderborn - Nürnberg	3:2
19.04.24	Nürnberg - Paderborn	0:2
11.11.23	Paderborn - Nürnberg	1:3
28.05.23	Paderborn - Nürnberg	0:1
13.11.22	Nürnberg - Paderborn	2:1
15.01.22	Nürnberg - Paderborn	1:2

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