Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2
Argentina	08:00	Disney+
Australia	21:00	beIN Connect
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Chile	07:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 5
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Laos	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN Connect
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:00	beIN Connect
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Philippines	19:00	beIN Connect
Poland	13:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	12:00	DAZN 1
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	13:00	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	13:00	Sport TV1
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	18:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+


	Paderborn		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.95
	2.15	3.65	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.55	3.06
	2.38	3.24	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.24	3.74	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
41.7%

Draw
26.3%

Holstein Kiel
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 25. Scheller T. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 6. Engelns L. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 26. Zec D. 13. Nekic I. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Schwab S. 37. Gigovic A. 47. Tolkin J. 15. Davidsen K. 11. Bernhardsson A. 7. Skrzybski S. (C)
Substitutes
14. Baur M. 20. Gotze F. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 26. Klaas S. 42. Krumme K. 30. Marino S. 1. Schubert M. (G) 18. Worner M.	14. Geschwill M. 19. Harres P. 24. Knudsen M. 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 8. Porath F. 10. Therkelsen J. 39. Wagner R. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Zec D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Hoffmeier M. ⚽,
40', Nekic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Skrzybski S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
56', Schwab S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
57', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
69', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
73', Curda L. 🟨,
75', Davidsen K. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
78', Copado L. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
78', Batzner N. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
84', Engelns L. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
84', Scheller T. ↓, Gotze F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽,
87', Gigovic A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Michel S. (Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Red Card) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Komenda M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2.3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Paderborn - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWW
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:4 ✺
07.07.25	Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Holstein Kiel - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Augsburg - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	0:4
02.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:1
25.02.23	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	1:1
20.08.22	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	7:2
04.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	3:4
25.09.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:2
27.01.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:1

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