Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paderborn		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.95
	2.15	3.65	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.55	3.06
	2.38	3.24	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.24	3.74	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)	2.95 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
41.7%

Draw
26.3%

Holstein Kiel
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 25. Scheller T. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 6. Engelns L. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 26. Zec D. 13. Nekic I. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Schwab S. 37. Gigovic A. 47. Tolkin J. 15. Davidsen K. 11. Bernhardsson A. 7. Skrzybski S. (C)
Substitutes
14. Baur M. 20. Gotze F. 39. Grimaldi A. 22. Hansen M. 26. Klaas S. 42. Krumme K. 30. Marino S. 1. Schubert M. (G) 18. Worner M.	14. Geschwill M. 19. Harres P. 24. Knudsen M. 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 8. Porath F. 10. Therkelsen J. 39. Wagner R. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Zec D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Hoffmeier M. ⚽,
40', Nekic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Skrzybski S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
56', Schwab S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
57', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
69', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
73', Curda L. 🟨,
75', Davidsen K. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
78', Copado L. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
78', Batzner N. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
84', Engelns L. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
84', Scheller T. ↓, Gotze F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽,
87', Gigovic A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Michel S. (Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Red Card) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Komenda M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2.3:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Hannover - Paderborn	2:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Paderborn - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWW
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:4 ✺
07.07.25	Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Holstein Kiel - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Augsburg - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	0:4
02.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:1
25.02.23	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	1:1
20.08.22	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	7:2
04.03.22	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	3:4
25.09.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:2
27.01.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:1

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