Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Pankritio Stadium (Heraklion)

Referee: Tsakalidis A. (Gre)


	OFI		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.30
	2.3	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.41	3.12	3.36
	2.21	3.11	3.43	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.25
	2.28	3.08	3.27	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.27 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
41%

Draw
30.4%

Asteras Tripolis
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

27.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

OFI - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OFI: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 5. Kostoulas K. 15. Poungouras A. 2. Krizmanic K. 17. Gonzalez B. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 41. Bouchalakis A. 21. Apostolakis I. (C) 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 18. Nuss T. 9. Leya Iseka A.	1. Papadopoulos N. (G) 74. Laskaris D. 16. Brorsson F. 32. Silva J. 27. Kotsiras G. 10. Gonzalez E. 21. Kourbelis D. (C) 28. Mendez A. 7. Bartolo J. 9. Macheda F. 11. Ketu K.
Substitutes
14. Androutsos A. 3. Athanasiou N. 10. Cantalapiedra A. 24. Dickmann L. 11. Fountas T. 6. Karachalios Z. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 19. Kodro K. 1. Lilo K. (G) 43. Nikolaou D. 16. Sielis C. 46. Theodosoulakis I.	8. Bouzoukis G. 14. Chicco J. 6. Chrysopoulos K. 91. Kakadiaris T. (G) 20. Kaltsas N. 75. Kimpioka B. 51. Kriaras G. (G) 19. Orozco F. 44. Papakanellos A. 80. Perez B. 39. Ricardinho 17. Tereziou A.
Coaches
Kontis C.	Antonopoulos G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Apostolakis I. ⚽, Bouchalakis A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Macheda F. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
30', Laskaris D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Ketu K. ⚽,
58', Apostolakis I. ↓, Athanasiou N. ↑,
58', Leya Iseka A. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
58', Chatzigiovanis A. ↓, Fountas T. ↑,
59', Macheda F. 🟨,
65', Nuss T. 🟨,
66', Nuss T. ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
72', Macheda F. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
78', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez B. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
83', Bartolo J. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
90+4', Ketu K. ↓, Tereziou A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Athanasiou N. ⚽, Krizmanic K. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 13th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.

OFI is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Asteras Tripolis have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Asteras Tripolis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Asteras Tripolis has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

OFI is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for OFI: Marinakis N. (Injury) Nikolaou D. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Asteras Tripolis: Deligiannidis P. (Inactive) Papadopoulos N. (Inactive) Riera A. (Inactive) Sylla I. (Eye injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, OFI has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:23 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for OFI against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.1:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Greek Super League for now

OFI Crete: 0.64% Asteras Tripolis: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	OFI Crete	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

OFI - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	OFI - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
12.09.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
09.09.26	OFI - Nestos Chrysoupoli	3:0 ✺
Greek Super League
06.09.26	OFI - AE Kifisia	2:0 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	PAOK - OFI	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43 WWWWT
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Cup
16.09.26	Niki Volos - Asteras Tripolis	0:3 ✺
Greek Super League
13.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
Greek Cup
10.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
07.09.26	Asteras Tripolis - Iraklis	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
11.01.26	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	4:0
Greek Cup
07.01.26	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	2:0
Greek Super League
03.11.25	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	3:0
26.04.25	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	0:2
13.04.25	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	2:1
Greek Cup
02.04.25	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	1:1
26.02.25	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	0:1

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