Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	OHiggins		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.6
	1.92	3.75	3.65	Watch
	1.9	3.77	4.09
	1.88	3.64	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.92	3.66	3.81	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	3.76 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
49.3%

Draw
25.7%

Deportes Iquique
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OHiggins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

OHiggins - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - OHiggins (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 17. Gonzalez M. (C) 21. Garrido N. 6. Pavez L. 32. Lugo M. 11. Leiva J. 10. Rabello B. 28. Calderon E. 19. Benegas L. 26. Godoy R.	22. Requena L. (G) 7. Gomez J. 6. Casanova L. 3. Ferreyra T. 13. Jorquera M. 36. Bacca J. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 17. Gonzalez C. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E. (C)
Substitutes
1. Deschamps J. (G) 38. Espinoza M. 29. Molina B. 2. Morales C. 5. Pinto G. 30. Tapia J. 15. Zapata Y.	24. Barrera B. 30. Blazquez M. 23. Hoyos E. 9. Javier Parraguez 11. Ramos A. 1. Reyes M. (G) 26. Saborit E.
Coaches
Meneghini F.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Benegas L. ⚽, Godoy R. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Calderon E. ⚽, Garrido N. (A),
40', Gonzalez C. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Benegas L. 🟥,
58', 2 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽, Fuentes C. (A),
62', Rabello B. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
65', Gomez J. 🟨,
69', Casanova L. 🟨,
70', Bacca J. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Pino S. ⚽, Puch E. (A),
81', Faundez F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
81', Godoy R. ↓, Zapata Y. ↑,
81', Calderon E. ↓, Espinoza M. ↑,
84', Pino S. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
84', Casanova L. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
87', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
90', Fuentes C. 🟨,
90+3', Espinoza M. 🟨,
90+5', Puch E. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

Last 5 head-to-head matches OHiggins won 2.

Recent matches OHiggins is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportes Iquique is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportes Iquique could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

OHiggins will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches OHiggins won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams OHiggins won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
20.04.25	OHiggins - Palestino	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Audax Italiano - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	OHiggins - Deportes Temuco	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.03.25	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWL
- Deportes Iquique
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
01.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Caracas	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.03.25	Ñublense - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.08.24	Deportes Iquique - OHiggins	1:3
28.03.24	OHiggins - Deportes Iquique	0:3
12.01.21	OHiggins - Deportes Iquique	2:2
07.03.20	Deportes Iquique - OHiggins	1:0
17.08.19	OHiggins - Deportes Iquique	4:1
02.03.19	Deportes Iquique - OHiggins	1:3
01.09.18	Deportes Iquique - OHiggins	3:1

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