Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Limache		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.25
	1.58	3.80	4.40
	1.58	4.05	4.85
	1.63	4.02	4.74
	1.62	4.07	4.82	Watch
	1.6	3.95	4.65
	1.62	3.81	5.27	Watch
	1.57	3.95	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	4.85 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
57.5%

Draw
23.5%

Deportes Iquique
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

19.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Limache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Limache - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Gonzalez C. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 2. Aguirre A. 5. Alfonzo A. 4. Flores M. 21. Moya F. 16. Jean David 25. Llanten M. 15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 19. Castro D.	25. Lopez Z. (G) 35. Saavedra V. 5. Concha V. 26. Ledesma F. 21. Espinoza F. 8. Venezia A. 20. Orellana D. 18. Garrido B. 23. Pereyra J. 11. Ramos A. 24. Barrera B.
Substitutes
18. Aban G. 1. Borquez M. (G) 30. Hernandez G. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 7. Morales C. 29. Oyarzun F. 24. Parot A. 9. Sosa G.	19. Arias D. 15. Ayala J. 12. Castillo D. (G) 16. Contreras S. 31. Diaz I. 2. Ponce Riveros D. 33. Tello D. 28. Troncoso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Ledesma F. ⚽, Venezia A. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Ramos A. ⚽, Barrera B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alfonzo A. ↓, Parot A. ↑,
46', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
57', Saavedra V. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
63', Castro D. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Llanten M. 🟨,
66', Alvarez V. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
66', Moya F. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
78', Barrera B. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
81', Llanten M. ↓, Oyarzun F. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Aguirre A. ⚽, Montecinos J. (A),
84', Orellana D. ↓, Tello D. ↑,
84', Ramos A. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Contreras S. ⚽, Diaz I. (A),
90', Montecinos J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 4, Diaz I. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Limache is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Cup
23.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Deportes Limache - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.26	Deportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Iquique	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique	4:3 ✺
23.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.08.25	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Limache	2:1
14.04.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes Iquique	2:0

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