The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakleigh Cannons 63.4%
Draw 20.8%
Dandenong City 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
24%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
23.5%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakleigh Cannons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oakleigh Cannons's performance.
Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakleigh Cannons than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oakleigh Cannons that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 3, ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
Oakleigh is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakleigh won 2.
Oakleigh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Dandenong City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Oakleigh is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Oakleigh won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakleigh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 3.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Oakleigh Cannons - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 54.4%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.