Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Kalionov O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	8.4	5.15	1.31
	8.53	5.34	1.32
	8.09	5.08	1.38	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.3
	8.3	4.97	1.28	Watch
	8.8	5.8	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.44 ↑ (6.4)	5.19 ↑ (4.2)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
11%

Draw
17.8%

Karpaty Lviv
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.3%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Poltava - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Poltava (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poltava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 24. Ukhan I. 33. Veremiyenko O. 20. Misyura Y. 12. Savenkov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 21. Doroshenko A. 8. Odaryuk V. 38. Sukhoruchko D. 88. Vivdych O. 2. Kononov M.	1. Domchak N. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 4. Baboglo V. 44. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 35. Edson Fernando 8. Chachua A. 37. Bruninho 70. Alkain X. 99. Faal B. 26. Kostenko Y.
Substitutes
15. Danylenko V. 7. Galenkov D. 93. Kobzar B. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 1. Minchev M. (G) 5. Pidlepych V. 11. Pyatov O. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	3. Adamyuk V. 18. Eriki 19. Karabin Y. 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 14. Kvasnytsya I. 80. Mysak R. (G) 7. Paulo V. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 33. Shakh A. 10. Stenio 77. Sych O.
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Fernandez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Kostenko Y. 🟨,
25', Plakhtyr D. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 0 - 1, Alkain X. ⚽, Bruninho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Baboglo V. ⚽,
55', Doroshenko A. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
55', Plakhtyr D. ↓, Danylenko V. ↑,
55', Vivdych O. ↓, Pyatov O. ↑,
58', Baboglo V. 🟨,
63', Veremiyenko O. 🟨,
64', Odaryuk V. ↓, Galenkov D. ↑,
65', Bruninho 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Kostenko Y. ⚽, Faal B. (A),
74', 0 - 4, Faal B. ⚽, Bruninho (A),
76', Baboglo V. ↓, Adamyuk V. ↑,
76', Kostenko Y. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
79', Veremiyenko O. ↓, Kotsyumaka I. ↑,
81', Edson Fernando ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
81', Bruninho ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
86', Alkain X. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 11).

Karpaty has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Karpaty has had a series of home games.

In this match, Karpaty is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15:5	10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
08.03.26	Zorya Luhansk - Poltava	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Poltava - Kudrivka	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Veres Rivne - Poltava	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Poltava - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Poltava - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
08.03.26	Karpaty Lviv - Kudrivka	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Karpaty Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Karpaty Lviv - Stjarnan	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Karpaty Lviv - GAIS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Poltava	1:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.04.24	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
23.03.24	Karpaty Lviv - Poltava	2:1

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