Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Reznikov D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.5	1.82
	4.13	3.89	1.8
	3.71	3.78	1.87	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
	4.34	3.72	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.14)	3.7 ↓ (3.97)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
23%

Draw
25.2%

Oleksandriya
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

23.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

19.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Poltava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Poltava - Oleksandriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minchev M. (G) 24. Ukhan I. 12. Savenkov A. 20. Misyura Y. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 8. Odaryuk V. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 21. Doroshenko A. 2. Kononov M. 38. Sukhoruchko D. 88. Vivdych O.	1. Dolgyi V. (G) 91. Butko B. 26. Ferreira M. 86. Bol A. 23. Oharkov M. 20. Vashchenko D. 49. Amaral M. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 27. Cara T. 99. Castillo B. 11. Shulyanskyi A.
Substitutes
19. Buzhyn M. 7. Galenkov D. 93. Kobzar B. 5. Pidlepych V. 44. Plakhtyr D. 11. Pyatov O. 10. Sad V. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	17. Andreichyk A. 40. Chernysh D. 44. Jhonnatan 79. Khmelovskyy D. 77. Kremchanin D. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 97. Prokopenko N. 67. Rodrigues M. 22. Skorko D. 24. Touati H. 37. Yade P.
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Sharan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Castillo B. ⚽,
9', Butko B. ↓, Skorko D. ↑,
17', Savenkov A. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Amaral M. ⚽, Cara T. (A),
37', 0 - 3, Amaral M. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
40', 1 - 3, Doroshenko A. ⚽, Danylenko V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Vivdych O. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
58', Danylenko V. ↓, Plakhtyr D. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, Kobzar B. ⚽,
64', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
72', 3 - 3, Plakhtyr D. ⚽,
79', Castillo B. ↓, Yade P. ↑,
79', Amaral M. ↓, Kremchanin D. ↑,
80', Odaryuk V. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
89', Kobzar B. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Poltava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oleksandriya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oleksandriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
19.03.26	Kharkiv - Poltava	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Zorya Luhansk - Poltava	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Poltava - Kudrivka	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Veres Rivne - Poltava	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
19.03.26	Oleksandriya - Dynamo Kyiv	0:5 ✺
14.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Oleksandriya	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
23.02.26	Oleksandriya - Obolon	Obolon awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.25	Oleksandriya - Poltava	1:0
Club Friendly
17.07.23	Oleksandriya - Poltava	2:0

Poltava - Oleksandriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide