Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 15

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)


	Odd		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.33	3.4	3
	2.42	3.49	3.05
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.34	3.5	2.94	Watch
	2.34	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.71)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	2.93 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
40.3%

Draw
27.7%

Vålerenga
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Odd's performance.

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vålerenga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Odd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vålerenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Odd - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odd: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Wahlstedt L. (G) 15. Solholm S. 21. Hagen S. (C) 5. Tomas D. 2. Ruud E. 17. Owusu S. 6. Owusu L. 3. Baccay J. 24. Gjengaar D. 7. Jorgensen F. 11. Midtskogen O.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 3. Kjelsen A. 7. Jensen F. 5. Zuta L. 6. Hedenstad V. (C) 8. Bjordal H. 24. Strand P. 18. Jukleroed S. 20. Riisnaes M. 10. Ofkir M. 19. Jatta S.
Substitutes
16. Glenna C. 4. Hien L. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 30. Klausen P. (G) 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J. 13. Skjeldal S. 9. Stensrud A. 19. Tewelde F.	2. Borchgrevink C. 9. Borven T. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 17. Eng J. 16. Johnsrud M. 14. Olsen A. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F. 29. Vitinho
Coaches
Johansen P.	Bakke G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Odd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Odd won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 37-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.07.23	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Odd - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
02.07.23	Haugesund - Odd	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Hamarkameratene - Odd	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Odd - Molde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWW
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.07.23	Vålerenga - Molde	0:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.07.23	Vålerenga - Brann	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.07.23	Tromsø - Vålerenga	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Stjørdals-Blink - Vålerenga	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
22.10.22	Odd - Vålerenga	2:1
26.06.22	Vålerenga - Odd	0:1
27.11.21	Odd - Vålerenga	1:2
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Vålerenga - Odd	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.06.21	Vålerenga - Odd	1:1
08.11.20	Vålerenga - Odd	2:0
24.06.20	Odd - Vålerenga	4:1

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