Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Odd

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.75
				Watch
	1.8	4.17	3.95
				Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.7
	1.91	3.88	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.09)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	3.68 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
50.9%

Draw
23.9%

Odd
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	35.3%	17.6%

Aalesunds - Odd Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Odd will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Odd (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 4. Haram S. 5. Kjelsen A. 25. Kitolano J. 2. Andresen M. 11. Johannsson D. 6. Hammer H. 66. Seehusen J. 3. Gudmundsson O. 19. Heiselberg F. 9. Ngongo P. (C)	1. Hansen A. (C) 14. Gunnerod J. 4. Walstad N. 25. Ambrose G. 13. Skjeldal S. 23. Kojo N. 8. Hussain E. 6. Svendsen T. 11. Hagen O. 22. Borven T. 29. Zekhnini R.
Substitutes
45. Aukland P. 29. Boe J. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 28. Kolve E. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H. 36. Ytterland T.	18. Aas S. 3. Baccay J. 21. Hagen S. 12. Hansen S. (G) 20. Hardarson H. 7. Jorgensen F. 10. Njie B.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Ronningene K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Zekhnini R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Seehusen J. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
65', Gunnerod J. ↓, Baccay J. ↑,
65', Zekhnini R. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
65', Svendsen T. ↓, Jorgensen F. ↑,
68', Heiselberg F. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
69', Johannsson D. ↓, Kolve E. ↑,
78', Kitolano J. ↓, Aukland P. ↑,
78', Hagen O. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
79', Walstad N. ↓, Hagen S. ↑,
84', Hussain E. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Melland H. ⚽, Ngongo P. (A),
90+5', Melland H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aalesunds will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:44. (average 1.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
15.06.25	Aalesunds - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Ranheim - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Aalesunds - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Aalesunds - Hamarkameratene	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTW
- Odds BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Odd - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Raufoss - Odd	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Odd - Åsane	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Hødd - Odd	3:1 ✺
16.05.25	Odd - Moss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
03.12.23	Odd - Aalesunds	4:1
16.07.23	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3
28.08.22	Aalesunds - Odd	1:1
23.04.22	Odd - Aalesunds	2:3
25.10.20	Aalesunds - Odd	0:3
25.07.20	Odd - Aalesunds	3:2
18.09.17	Odd - Aalesunds	3:2

Upcoming Matches