Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski Odra (Opole)


	Odra Opole		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.63
	4.3	3.75	1.7
	4.4	3.8	1.65
	4.56	3.9	1.66
	4.5	3.5	1.65
	4.45	3.84	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.88)	3.76 ↑ (3.3)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
20.6%

Draw
24.3%

Jagiellonia Białystok
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	9.1%	75.8%

Odra Opole - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Jagiellonia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Odra Opole won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Odra Opole won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
27.08.22	Górnik Łęczna - Odra Opole	4:1 ✺
21.08.22	Arka Gdynia - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Odra Opole - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
09.08.22	Odra Opole - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	4:2 ✺
05.08.22	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTWL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.08.22	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
19.08.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
31.07.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
12.03.19	Odra Opole - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2

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