Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Itaka Arena (Opole)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Odra Opole		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3
	2.45	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.5	3.25	3.05
	2.69	3.13	2.54	Watch
	2.45	3.08	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.86 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
37.4%

Draw
30%

Ruch Chorzów
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odra Opole: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Abramowicz M. (G) 26. Kendzia F. 52. Cassio 4. Chrzanowski A. 7. Milos M. 13. Purzycki A. 8. Ramos L. 22. Spychala M. 33. Kupczyk F. 14. Prikryl T. (C) 19. Przybylko K.	33. Gradecki B. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 7. Kolar M. 23. Mezghrani M.
Substitutes
30. Haluch A. (G) 70. Kobusinski S. 18. Mida S. 11. Perez J. 3. Piroch J. 6. Pochciol J. 77. Szklinski S. 24. Szrek J. 20. Tront D.	9. Bala T. 38. Karasinski S. 24. Komor A. 14. Nono 70. Proczek N. (G) 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 22. Zurawski M.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kolar M. ⚽, Szwedzik P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Milos M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
46', Kupczyk F. ↓, Szklinski S. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Spychala M. ⚽,
67', Prikryl T. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
72', Purzycki A. ↓, Tront D. ↑,
78', Konczkowski M. 🟨,
80', Mezghrani M. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
86', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
90+1', Szwoch M. 🟨,
90+2', Spychala M. ↓, Szrek J. ↑,
90+2', Szklinski S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odra Opole won 0.

Odra Opole is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ruch Chorzów has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Odra Opole won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:30. (average 0.7:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Odra Opole won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Odra Opole - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Ruch Chorzów - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
19.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Odra Opole - Wieczysta Kraków	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.25	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.25	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	1:0
Polish Division 1
29.11.24	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	6:0
19.07.24	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
Polish Division 1
19.05.23	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	3:0
21.10.22	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
Club Friendly
26.06.22	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	3:0

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