Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Itaka Arena (Opole)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Odra Opole		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.25
	2.08	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.57
	2.13	3.46	3.28	Watch
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.35	3.41	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
44.6%

Draw
27.6%

Stal Mielec
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Odra Opole - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wojcik A. (G) 6. Pochciol J. 47. Bialowas M. 3. Piroch J. 24. Szrek J. 16. Liber A. 13. Purzycki A. 25. Palacz K. 14. Prikryl T. (C) 99. Sukiennicki O. 19. Przybylko K.	99. Gostomski M. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 2. Szala D. 44. Puerto I. 5. Matynia H. 18. Wlazlo P. (C) 24. Nunez C. 6. Pisek J. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 25. Fucak K. 78. Cybulski K.
Substitutes
4. Chrzanowski A. 32. Feliks M. 30. Haluch A. (G) 26. Kendzia F. 70. Kobusinski S. 18. Mida S. 11. Perez J. 77. Szklinski S. 20. Tront D.	33. Bukowski A. 10. Domanski M. 32. Gerbowski F. 71. Kowalski J. 88. Lukic D. 1. Matys M. (G) 11. Odolak K. 15. Senger M. 70. Tsykalo Y.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Przybylko K. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
46', Szrek J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
48', Perez J. 🟨,
51', Bialowas M. 🟨,
65', Fucak K. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Fucak K. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
68', Purzycki A. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
73', Sukiennicki O. ↓, Mida S. ↑,
77', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
77', Fucak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
81', Prikryl T. ↓, Tront D. ↑,
84', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
84', Matynia H. ↓, Senger M. ↑,
88', Pisek J. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Lukic D. ⚽, Gerbowski F. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odra Opole won 1.

In recent matches, Odra Opole has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Odra Opole has had a series of away games.

Odra Opole might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Odra Opole won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Odra Opole won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Stal Mielec: 0.41% Odra Opole: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14:23	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Mielec - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
22.02.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	GKS Tychy - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Arsimi - Odra Opole	Odra Opole (Pol) awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWT?
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
23.02.26	Stal Mielec - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Wisła Kraków - Stal Mielec	5:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.12.25	Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.08.25	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	2:1
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:2
Polish Division 1
04.07.20	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1
24.10.19	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:0
24.04.19	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:1
05.10.18	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1
20.04.18	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	2:2

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