Match Info

Division 1 - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.8	4.15	Watch
	1.77	4.04	4.09
	1.76	4	4.09	Watch
	1.73	3.6	3.8
	1.71	3.8	3.98
	1.76	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	3.79 ↓ (3.91)	4.07 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
53%

Draw
24.3%

Stal Mielec
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

22.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Stal Mielec (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 99. Durmus I. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 97. Janasik P. 14. Vitalucci H. 7. Vega D. 26. Gnaase D. 19. Vasin N. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.	99. Gostomski M. (G) 27. Diez A. 44. Puerto I. 15. Senger M. 22. Kavcic M. 70. Tsykalo Y. 18. Wlazlo P. (C) 78. Cybulski K. 6. Pisek J. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 25. Fucak K.
Substitutes
. Gorzedowski M. 5. Hoxhallari E. 21. Kapusta A. . Kostorz K. 40. Mroz M. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 24. Terpilowski E.	33. Bukowski A. 10. Domanski M. 32. Gerbowski F. 71. Kowalski J. 88. Lukic D. 1. Matys M. (G) 24. Nunez C. 11. Odolak K. 20. Szeliga B.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Dadok R. ⚽, Vega D. (A),
45', Gnaase D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Fucak K. ⚽,
50', 2 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽,
52', Senger M. 🟨,
53', 2 - 2, Wlazlo P. ⚽,
67', Dadok R. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
67', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
67', Pisek J. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
68', Kavcic M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
73', Fucak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
77', Szeliga B. 🟨,
78', Vitalucci H. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
78', Vasin N. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
78', Zjawinski L. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Salihu H. ⚽, Vega D. (A),
82', 4 - 2, Durmus I. ⚽,
83', Cisse S. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
83', Tsykalo Y. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 2, Kostorz K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Polonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Polonia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Stal Mielec: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14:23	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Polonia Warsaw - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
05.12.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Polonia Warsaw - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTWWW
- Stal Mielec
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Wisła Kraków - Stal Mielec	5:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.12.25	Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Mielec	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.08.25	Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw	1:3

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