The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oeirense 17.6%
Draw 25.8%
4 de Julho 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.9%
27.4%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
22.7%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oeirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
4 de Julho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oeirense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for 4 de Julho than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 4 de Julho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Piauiense (Play Offs)).
Oeirense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
4 de Julho is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently 4 de Julho have a series of home games.
In this match 4 de Julho is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Oeirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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