Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 20

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Ogre United		Riga Mariners

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.57	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3.52	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	2.72 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
40.5%

Draw
25.8%

Riga Mariners
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

24.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

23.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ogre United - Riga Mariners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Biscuhis K. (G) 5. Hayashi K. 10. Kalnins M. 6. Karklins K. (C) 7. Kumakura K. 4. Mamich D. 3. Marusiy T. 16. Mashchenko V. 9. Silagailis H. 88. Stepanovs V. 2. Ziemelis R.	35. Kurakins V. (G) 6. Bokans E. 22. Caune M. 9. Grazis A. 30. Kacanovs G. 29. Lazarevs A. 8. Pavlovskis A. 21. Poluhovics A. 5. Rogovs D. 25. Sinelnikovs A. (C) 3. Urujevs R.
Substitutes
30. Hvoinickis D. 19. Jamonts K. 14. Juhnovics R. 15. Licis K. 11. Pacepko M. 1. Perkons E. (G) 21. Salins D. 8. Skujins R. 22. Sprukulis K.	16. Ambrusevic K. 4. Janiss R. 18. Kostigovs V. 20. Krancmanis A. 1. Semetovs R. (G) 7. Sirbu D. 17. Sola R. 33. Trifonovs R. 10. Visnakovs E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kalnins M. ⚽,
19', Stepanovs V. 🟨,
30', Kalnins M. ↓, Jamonts K. ↑,
39', Pavlovskis A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Jamonts K. ⚽, Silagailis H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caune M. ↓, Kostigovs V. ↑,
46', Poluhovics A. ↓, Visnakovs E. ↑,
48', Marusiy T. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Silagailis H. ⚽,
56', Stepanovs V. ↓, Hvoinickis D. ↑,
56', Sinelnikovs A. ↓, Krancmanis A. ↑,
59', Silagailis H. 🟨,
73', Grazis A. 🟥,
77', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
80', Silagailis H. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
80', Mashchenko V. ↓, Sprukulis K. ↑,
83', Pavlovskis A. ↓, Trifonovs R. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga).

Ogre United has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Riga Mariners is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Riga Mariners has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
14.09.25	Ogre United - Augšdaugavas	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Ogre United	0:7 ✺
23.08.25	Ogre United - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ogre United - JFK Ventspils	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olaine - Ogre United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
13.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	Riga - Riga Mariners	10:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
09.08.25	Riga Mariners - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

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