Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 18

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Tukums 2000 2		Ogre United

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.45	1.58	Watch
	7.67	6.80	1.24	Watch
	4.3	4.3	1.58
	3.8	4.33	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (6.46)	4.97 ↓ (5)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000 2
19.1%

Draw
18.8%

Ogre United
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

18.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

17.6%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ogre United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ogre United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tukums 2000 2 - Ogre United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Tukums 2000 2 (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tukums 2000 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Keziks K. (G) 24. Ansevics E. 20. Dzeguze R. 25. Joksts H. 31. Maulins A. 14. Putrans D. 3. Semesko M. 7. Sirbu D. 34. Steponavicus R. 32. Uzis K. (C) 21. Valmiers D.	20. Biscuhis K. (G) 5. Hayashi K. 10. Kalnins M. 6. Karklins K. (C) 7. Kumakura K. 4. Mamich D. 3. Marusiy T. 16. Mashchenko V. 9. Silagailis H. 88. Stepanovs V. 2. Ziemelis R.
Substitutes
64. Abolins M. 40. Grinfogels J. 36. Kere M. 97. Minajevs K. (G) 49. Vaza V.	13. Gulbis K. 30. Hvoinickis D. 19. Jamonts K. 14. Juhnovics R. 11. Pacepko M. 1. Perkons E. (G) 21. Salins D. 8. Skujins R. 22. Sprukulis K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Stepanovs V. ⚽, Mashchenko V. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Silagailis H. ⚽, Kalnins M. (A),
30', 0 - 3, Stepanovs V. ⚽, Mamich D. (A),
41', Ansevics E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Stepanovs V. ↓, Hvoinickis D. ↑,
46', Mashchenko V. ↓, Jamonts K. ↑,
54', 0 - 4, Marusiy T. ⚽, Kalnins M. (A),
57', Joksts H. ↓, Vaza V. ↑,
62', Silagailis H. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
62', Kumakura K. ↓, Juhnovics R. ↑,
69', 0 - 5, Kalnins M. ⚽,
73', 0 - 6, Pacepko M. ⚽, Kalnins M. (A),
73', Biscuhis K. ↓, Perkons E. ↑,
80', Maulins A. ↓, Kere M. ↑,
80', Putrans D. ↓, Grinfogels J. ↑,
90', 0 - 7, Hvoinickis D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).

Recent form of Tukums 2000 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ogre United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ogre United is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tukums 2000 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
22.08.25	JFK Ventspils - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
08.08.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine	8:1 ✺
01.08.25	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Ogre United
Latvian 1 Liga
23.08.25	Ogre United - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ogre United - JFK Ventspils	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olaine - Ogre United	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	Ogre United - Leevon PPK	4:1 ✺
18.07.25	Ogre United - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
26.04.25	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	4:1
14.09.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Ogre United	2:0
11.05.24	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	1:0

Upcoming Matches