The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 32.4%
Draw 31.9%
Avispa Fukuoka 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.9%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
22.7%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oita Trinita that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oita Trinita - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 19 (32.89%), has project points - 30, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Avispa Fukuoka has the most likely position - 9 (11.5%), has project points - 55, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oita Trinita is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Avispa Fukuoka is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Watch
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