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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 35.6%
Draw 30.5%
Sagan Tosu 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
30.5%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
30.6%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Oita Trinita - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 33. Miyakawa A. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 7. Yoshida M. 8. Sakakibara K. 18. Nodake J. 14. Utsumoto S. 9. Arima K. 88. Patrick Verhon 17. Kim Hyun-woo
1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Suzuki D.
Substitutes
13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 20. Kimoto T. 2. Okamoto T. 16. Shige T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 30. Tone I. 72. Yamaguchi T. 15. Yashiki Y.
26. Ando T. 47. Izawa R. 13. Jojo K. 3. Kamiyama K. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Sakai N. 14. Sakaiya K. 88. Shiohama R. 20. Toyoda A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Kim Hyun-woo 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Yuba K. ⚽, Nishizawa K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
54', Nishizawa K. 🟨,
59', Suzuki D. ↓, Shiohama R. ↑,
73', Nishizawa K. ↓, Izawa R. ↑,
73', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
75', Patrick Verhon ↓, Kimoto T. ↑,
75', Nodake J. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
76', Utsumoto S. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
76', Mun Kyung-Gun 🟨,
84', Sakamoto K. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
84', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
85', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 2.
Recent performances by Oita Trinita have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tosu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Oita Trinita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Oita Trinita has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
China
Japan
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Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
Miyakawa A. 
Matheus Pereira 
