Match Info

J1 League - Round 35

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Avispa Fukuoka		Shonan Bellmare

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.25	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.88
	1.84	3.43	4.49	Watch
	1.87	3.41	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 (1.84)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	4.45 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
51.2%

Draw
27.6%

Shonan Bellmare
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Obata Y. (C) 3. Nara T. 20. Ando T. 40. Ikeda J. 29. Maejima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 8. Konno K. 14. Nago S. 27. Usui S.	31. Sanada K. (G) 66. Matsumoto H. 4. Tachi K. 8. Ono K. 15. Okuno K. 37. Suzuki Y. 7. Onose K. 13. Hiraoka T. 47. Nakano S. 9. Oda Y. 10. Suzuki A. (C)
Substitutes
47. Hashimoto Y. 18. Iwasaki Y. 5. Kamijima T. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 32. Sani Brown A. 6. Shigemi M. 37. Tashiro M. 17. Wellington 2. Yuzawa M.	50. Fujii T. 18. Ikeda M. 77. Ishii H. 32. Matsumura S. 72. Nitta R. 22. Oiwa K. 1. Popp W. (G) 17. Tamura S. 6. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Kim Myong-hwi	Yamaguchi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Nakano S. 🟨,
41', Nara T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
59', Nago S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
59', Konno K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
60', Okuno K. ↓, Ze Ricardo ↑,
76', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
80', Fujimoto K. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
80', Ikeda J. ↓, Kamijima T. ↑,
85', Onose K. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
90+1', Tachi K. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Miki T. (Pen),
90+8', Usui S. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
90+8', Matsuoka D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avispa Fukuoka is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Yuzawa M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL
- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
19.10.25	Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.04.25	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
07.08.24	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
09.03.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
30.08.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	3:1
Japan J1 League
16.07.23	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
19.03.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Shonan Bellmare	2:1
16.07.22	Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0

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