The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 46.5%
Draw 28.2%
Sagan Tosu 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.8%
27.5%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
26.7%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
37.5%
12.5%
Avispa Fukuoka - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Murakami M. (G) 33. Grolli D. 37. Tashiro M. 5. Miya D. 16. Oda I. 88. Matsuoka D. 6. Mae H. 18. Iwasaki Y. 8. Konno K. 27. Sato R. 17. Wellington
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 3. Kimura S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 28. Maruhashi Y. 5. Kawahara S. 7. Tezuka K. 22. Togashi C. 23. Kikuchi T. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
4. Inoue S. 19. Kamekawa M. 7. Kanamori T. 25. Kitajima Y. 41. Sakata D. (G) 30. Shigemi M. 9. Zahedi S.
11. Araujo V. 6. Fukuta A. 18. Hino S. 21. Horigome Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 16. Ueebisu K.
Coaches
Hasebe S.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Konno K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Sato R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kikuchi T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
46', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Wellington ⚽, Oda I. (A),
68', Sato R. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
68', Konno K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
72', Miya D. 🟨,
74', Wellington ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
76', Tezuka K. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
76', Togashi C. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
80', Horigome Y. 🟨,
84', Miya D. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
84', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Kamekawa M. ↑,
84', Yokoyama A. ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tosu have a series of home games.
Avispa Fukuoka will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.