Match Info

J2 League - Round 37

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.62	Watch
	4.85	3.4	1.68	Watch
	4.51	3.44	1.87
	4.34	3.39	1.83	Watch
	5.28	3.52	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.34)	3.45 ↑ (3.39)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
19.2%

Draw
27%

JEF United Chiba
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.5%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 25%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 1 - 33.3%). JEF United (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - JEF United (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - JEF United (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 1 - 20%). JEF United (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 31. Matheus Pereira 2. Okamoto T. 6. Misao Y. 44. Yoshida M. 18. Nodake J. 25. Sakakibara K. 4. Satsukawa A. 21. Ayukawa S. 38. Amagasa T. 13. Isa K.	35. Wakahara T. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 13. Suzuki D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 42. Issaka Z. 6. Eduardo 4. Taguchi T. 14. Tsubaki N. 20. Ishikawa D. 29. Carlinhos
Substitutes
11. Gleyson 32. Hamada T. (G) 27. Matsuo Y. 33. Miyakawa A. 10. Nomura N. 8. Ochiai R. 30. Tone I. 39. Udo S. 29. Utsumoto S.	5. Kobayashi Y. 15. Mae T. 39. Mori K. 44. Shinada M. 18. Sugiyama N. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Takenaka M.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Kawano T. ⚽, Ishikawa D. (A),
40', Satsukawa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yoshida M. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
50', Misao Y. ↓, Tone I. ↑,
65', Eduardo ↓, Mae T. ↑,
65', Tsubaki N. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
65', Carlinhos ↓, Mori K. ↑,
68', Satsukawa A. ↓, Utsumoto S. ↑,
68', Ayukawa S. ↓, Nomura N. ↑,
76', Hidaka M. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
77', Isa K. ↓, Gleyson ↑,
90+1', Taguchi T. ↓, Toriumi K. ↑,
90+2', Okamoto T. 🟨,
90+5', Ishikawa D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

JEF United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, JEF United is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
08.11.25	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Blaublitz Akita - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWTT
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
09.11.25	JEF United Chiba - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	JEF United Chiba - Consadole Sapporo	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Blaublitz Akita - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.04.25	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	1:0
01.09.24	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	0:2
13.04.24	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	1:1
24.06.23	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	1:1
19.03.23	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	2:1
02.07.22	Oita Trinita - JEF United Chiba	3:2
30.04.22	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	0:3

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