Match Info

J2 League - Round 26

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.45	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.61	3	3.13
	2.41	2.87	3.27	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.88
	2.48	2.98	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.29)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
37.2%

Draw
31.7%

Oita Trinita
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	46.7%	13.3%

Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ventforet Kofu will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 21. Renato Augusto 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 24. Sato K. 16. Hayashida K. 14. Tanaka Y. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 44. Naito Y.	32. Hamada T. (G) 31. Matheus Pereira 34. Fujiwara Y. 6. Misao Y. 44. Yoshida M. 18. Nodake J. 25. Sakakibara K. 29. Utsumoto S. 9. Arima K. 21. Ayukawa S. 11. Gleyson
Substitutes
20. Endo H. 5. Ichinose T. 2. Inoue M. 30. Ishikawa K. (G) 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Kumakura K. 9. Mitsuhira K. 49. Neemias 29. Oshima K.	38. Amagasa T. 14. Ikeda R. 13. Isa K. 27. Matsuo Y. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 8. Ochiai R. 16. Shige T. 30. Tone I. 15. Yashiki Y.
Coaches
Otsuka S.	Katanosaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Torikai Y. ⚽, Naito Y. (A),
65', Gleyson ↓, Isa K. ↑,
65', Ayukawa S. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
69', Renato Augusto ↓, Inoue M. ↑,
72', Edu Mancha 🟨,
73', Nodake J. ↓, Amagasa T. ↑,
78', Matheus Leiria ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
78', Naito Y. ↓, Mitsuhira K. ↑,
80', Fujiwara Y. ↓, Tone I. ↑,
80', Yoshida M. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Mitsuhira K. ⚽, Kumakura K. (A),
90', Arima K. 🟨,
90+1', Tanaka Y. ↓, Endo H. ↑,
90+1', Torikai Y. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 1.

In recent matches, Kofu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oita Trinita has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kofu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kofu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
11.08.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Imabari - Ventforet Kofu	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
09.08.25	Oita Trinita - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Oita Trinita - Imabari	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Tokyo - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
29.06.24	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
03.05.24	Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita	1:2
09.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita	3:2
04.06.23	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
24.09.22	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
26.02.22	Ventforet Kofu - Oita Trinita	1:1

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