The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 50.3%
Draw 27.9%
Ventforet Kofu 21.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
29.6%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28.7%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oita Trinita's performance.
Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 30. Tone I. 3. Miyakawa A. 44. Moriyama K. 27. Matsuo Y. 7. Nishimura Y. 19. Hayashida K. 14. Utsumoto S. 10. Matheus Leiria 18. Patrick Verhon 9. Arima K. (C)
97. Higashi J. (G) 22. Koide Y. 17. Fukumoto S. 20. Endo H. 11. Kumakura K. 27. Takei S. 41. Wada T. 19. Mizuno H. 26. Sato K. 96. Kurokawa A. 10. Naito Y. (C)
Substitutes
45. Aizawa D. 34. Furukawa D. 33. Inoue S. 17. Kimoto M. 28. Kiyotake H. 6. Misao Y. 2. Oda I. 8. Sakakibara K. 1. Tanaka Y. (G)
6. Kobayashi I. 95. Mendes 13. Murakami Y. 3. Nozawa R. 29. Oshima K. 16. Sueki H. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G) 15. Yoneda T.
Coaches
Yomoda S.
Shibuya H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Arima K. ⚽, Moriyama K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Koide Y. ↓, Nozawa R. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Naito Y. ⚽, Kumakura K. (A),
60', Nishimura Y. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
60', Patrick Verhon ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
66', Arima K. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
66', Matheus Leiria ↓, Kiyotake H. ↑,
68', Takei S. 🟨,
73', Sato K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
79', Mizuno H. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
79', Kumakura K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
85', Wada T. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,
87', Matsuo Y. ↓, Aizawa D. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th and 20th in the Relegation - J3 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 2.
Oita Trinita has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kofu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kofu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Oita Trinita carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Oita Trinita in today's match, at odds of 1.84.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Oita Trinita has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oita Trinita against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Oita Trinita
13
4
7
2
17:10
7
19
20
Kofu
13
3
2
8
10:27
-17
11
Last Results with these Odds
Oita Trinita - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
Tone I. 
Matheus Leiria 
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