The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 35.6%
Draw 33%
Ventforet Kofu 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.8%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oita Trinita's form might have worsened.
Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oita Trinita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Kofu will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% โ 84.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Kofu (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 1 - 25%). Kofu (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 31. Matheus Pereira 3. Derlan 16. Shige T. 5. Nakagawa H. 38. Amagasa T. 29. Utsumoto S. 9. Arima K. 10. Nomura N. 13. Isa K.
1. Kawata K. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 40. Edu Mancha 19. Miyazaki J. 16. Hayashida K. 48. Val Soares 24. Sato K. 10. Torikai Y. 14. Tanaka Y. 49. Neemias
Substitutes
21. Ayukawa S. 14. Ikeda R. 19. Kozakai A. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 25. Sakakibara K. 35. Sato J. 30. Tone I. 15. Yashiki Y. 44. Yoshida M.
20. Endo H. 97. Higashi J. (G) 25. Hiratsuka Y. 2. Inoue M. 22. Koide Y. 77. Matheus Leiria 13. Murakami Y. 8. Nakayama R. 29. Oshima K.
Coaches
Katanosaka T.
Otsuka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Val Soares 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Edu Mancha ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Val Soares 🟨,
54', Torikai Y. ↓, Endo H. ↑,
54', Neemias ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Arima K. ⚽, Nakagawa H. (A),
59', Isa K. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
59', Shige T. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
68', Tanaka Y. ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
74', Derlan ↓, Tone I. ↑,
74', Utsumoto S. ↓, Sato J. ↑,
76', Tsuchiya T. 🟨,
82', Ayukawa S. 🟨,
83', Nakagawa H. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Tsuchiya T. (Own goal),
90', Hayashida K. ↓, Nakayama R. ↑,
90', Miyazaki J. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 3.
Oita Trinita has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kofu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Oita Trinita will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Japan
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Hamada T. (G) 
Matheus Pereira 
Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
