Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Showa Denko Dome (Oita)


	Oita Trinita		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.35
	3	3	2.45
	2.95	3	2.41
	3.15	3.09	2.55
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.96	3.22	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.54)	3.03 ↑ (2.87)	2.57 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
32.6%

Draw
31%

Albirex Niigata
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

32.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

33.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albirex Niigata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oita Trinita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	37.5%	43.7%

Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
05.06.22	Oita Trinita - Machida Zelvia	3:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Oita Trinita - Kagura Shimane	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
25.05.22	Oita Trinita - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTL
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
04.06.22	Tokushima Vortis - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	3:0 ✺
25.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	0:3 ✺
21.05.22	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.08.18	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	4:0
06.05.18	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	1:2
Japan J1 League
10.11.13	Oita Trinita - Albirex Niigata	1:3
18.05.13	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	2:3

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