Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Olaines stadions (Olaine)


	Olaine		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
				Watch
	2.95	3.55	1.89
				Watch
	3.38	3.7	1.88
	3.27	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaine
27.7%

Draw
24.8%

Mārupe
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

23.8%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Olaine have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Olaine - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balodis P. (G) 3. Aivars E. 75. Gegers E. 27. Gorodnickis A. 30. Kronis E. 2. Mitkovecs A. 23. Pavlenko E. 18. Ruja K. (C) 21. Strelcovs I. 15. Vinogradovs J. 20. Zemlinskis A.	1. Zandreiters R. (G) 11. Cebotarjovs V. 41. Garais P. 26. Jansons K. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 14. Oliynyk M. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G. 22. Zarovs N.
Substitutes
35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 10. Hartmanis D. 12. Keziks K. (G) 16. Laptiev O. 33. Moskalovs A. 71. Pikar D. 5. Tribers M. 6. Turcaninovs V.	12. Bareika K. (G) 33. Calitis M. 9. Dobrajs M. 24. Julmanis A. 18. Roga R. 15. Seliverstovs A. 13. Steinbergs T. 44. Zags T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Pavlenko E. ⚽, Gegers E. (A),
41', Vinogradovs J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Garais P. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Speks R. ⚽,
59', Gorodnickis A. ↓, Laptiev O. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Jansons K. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Oliynyk M. ⚽,
79', Zarovs N. ↓, Seliverstovs A. ↑,
85', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Julmanis A. ↑,
87', Strelcovs I. 🟨,
87', 1 - 4, Korsaks K. ⚽,
88', Korolcuks R. ↓, Zags T. ↑,
88', Oliynyk M. ↓, Calitis M. ↑,
89', Strelcovs I. ↓, Turcaninovs V. ↑,
89', Mitkovecs A. ↓, Moskalovs A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Mārupe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olaine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Olaine won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFA Olaine
Latvian Cup
21.06.25	Pļaviņas - Olaine	3:5
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Skanstes - Olaine	2:3 ✺
08.06.25	Augšdaugavas - Olaine	4:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
25.05.25	Olaine - Riga 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT
- Mārupes SC
Latvian Cup
21.06.25	Riga United - Mārupe	0:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Ķekava Auda - Mārupe	0:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Mārupe - Rēzekne	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Skanstes - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
29.09.24	Olaine - Mārupe	5:1
25.05.24	Mārupe - Olaine	2:1

Olaine - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide