Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Honduras	17:15	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Atlético Independiente

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.20	5.25
	1.38	4.30	5.60
	1.47	4.30	5.95
	1.45	4.56	6.2	Watch
	1.38	4.25	5.90
	1.55	4.29	5.23
	1.45	4.30	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.33)	4.31 ↓ (4.6)	5.68 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
62.9%

Draw
21.1%

Atlético Independiente
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

19.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

17.2%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Atlético Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olancho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Olancho - Atlético Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 12. Andino D. 27. Bengtson J. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 22. Canavesio R. 23. Delgado J. 8. Gomez H. 33. Munoz N. 15. Padilla O. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R.	1. Rodriguez M. (G) 15. Arias E. 21. Cabrera A. 7. Enamorado N. 8. Escoto Pineda F. J. 27. Espinoza S. 4. Herrera D. 28. Llorente D. 3. Ramirez A. 32. Techera M. 18. Yanez F.
Substitutes
. Amador 17. Antunez M. . Assis 16. Banegas Y. 39. Garcia M. 3. Lasso J. 26. Perea G. 24. Pozantes S. 42. Reyes R. 7. Rodriguez D. 18. Suazo C. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	9. Bodden A. 17. Cruz S. 14. Fiallos J. 26. Luna E. 29. Marmol E. 11. Martinez G. 10. Melendez L. 16. Oscar Adonay C. S. 12. Perello M. (G) 20. Reyes E. 30. Vasquez C. . Zelaya C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Almendarez O. ⚽,
23', Herrera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Ramirez A. 🟨,
49', Llorente D. 🟨,
58', Escoto Pineda F. J. ↓, Oscar Adonay C. S. ↑,
58', Yanez F. ↓, Cruz S. ↑,
63', Gomez H. 🟨,
66', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Banegas Y. ↑,
67', Bengtson J. ↓, Antunez M. ↑,
70', Llorente D. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Melendez L. ⚽,
77', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Suazo C. ↑,
80', Techera M. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
83', Delgado J. ↓, Assis ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 8th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Olancho carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	11	2	7	2	11:11	0	13
10	Atletico Independiente	11	2	5	4	10:18	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
19.09.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Olancho - Real España	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Motagua - Olancho	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLT
- Atlético Independiente
Honduras Liga Nacional
20.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Atlético Independiente	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Independiente - Juticalpa	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Independiente - Motagua	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Platense - Atlético Independiente	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Atlético Independiente - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLT

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