Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Olancho		Real España

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.10	2.45
	2.62	3	2.45
	2.81	3.18	2.33
	2.65	3.17	2.65	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.5
	2.82	3.45	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.66)	3.13 ↓ (3.24)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
34.1%

Draw
28.9%

Real España
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+1%)

Olancho - Real España Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torres D. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 12. Andino D. 27. Bengtson J. 22. Canavesio R. 8. Gomez H. 11. Joanderson 5. Martinez D. 33. Munoz N. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D.	22. Lopez L. (G) 10. Benavidez J. 39. Cacho D. 5. Flores F. 8. Garcia A. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 25. Pereira M. 18. Vuelto D.
Substitutes
17. Antunez M. 29. Argueta G. (G) 20. Cabrera Y. A. 23. Delgado J. 15. Padilla O. 26. Perea G. 24. Pozantes S. 18. Suazo C. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	17. Alvarado M. 54. Arana M. 12. Cruz N. 23. Lopez R. (G) 2. Ramos J. 49. Reyes H. (G) 7. Ritacco G. 52. Rochez J. 38. Roland D. 64. Salazar V. 30. Sayago D. 35. Zavala D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Osorto R. 🟨,
15', Andino D. 🟨,
21', Martinez D. 🟨,
35', Gomez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Joanderson 🟨,
63', Cacho D. 🟨,
64', Vuelto D. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
68', Joanderson ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
68', Andino D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Hernandez E. ⚽,
76', Hernandez E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
76', Cacho D. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
77', Martinez D. ↓, Antunez M. ↑,
85', Osorto R. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
88', Cruz N. 🟨,
89', Ritacco G. 🟨,
89', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
90', Rodriguez D. ↓, Padilla O. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Padilla O. ⚽,
90+1', Pereira M. 🟨,
90+4', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+5', Munoz N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 1.

In recent matches, Olancho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real España is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Olancho - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 33.58%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Real España - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
04.09.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Motagua - Olancho	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTWW
- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.09.26	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Real España - Choloma	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Real España - Atlético Independiente	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Platense - Real España	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
14.03.26	Olancho - Real España	3:0
24.01.26	Real España - Olancho	2:0
27.09.25	Olancho - Real España	1:1
22.07.25	Real España - Olancho	4:1
03.05.25	Real España - Olancho	1:0
01.03.25	Olancho - Real España	0:3
20.10.24	Real España - Olancho	1:1

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