Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Motagua		Olancho

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.70	4.10
	1.63	3.80	3.80
	1.71	3.51	4.09
	1.62	4.12	4.81	Watch
	1.69	3.45	4.00
	1.79	3.63	4.25
	1.68	3.55	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	4.16 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
53.7%

Draw
24.6%

Olancho
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olancho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Motagua - Olancho Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Motagua will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Olancho will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz L. (G) 3. Cacho P. 5. Discua O. 10. Gomez R. 27. Macias J. 36. Marinacci V. 35. Melendez C. 30. Miranda J. 9. Moya J. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A.	1. Torres D. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 27. Bengtson J. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 23. Delgado J. 5. Martinez D. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 6. Velasquez A. G.
Substitutes
42. Argueta J. 28. Avila A. 14. Barrios A. 21. Batiz J. 19. De Olivera R. 24. Garcia J. 15. Hernandez A. 25. Licona M. (G) 80. Oliva D. 16. Palma C. 34. Sacaza G. 26. Santamaria L.	17. Antunez M. 29. Argueta G. (G) 77. Avila V. 16. Banegas Y. 22. Canavesio R. 8. Gomez H. 11. Joanderson 3. Lasso J. 15. Padilla O. 24. Pozantes S. 70. Romero C. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bengtson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Gomez H. ↑,
46', Portillo J. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
46', Gomez R. ↓, De Olivera R. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Melendez C. ⚽,
61', Miranda J. ↓, Batiz J. ↑,
65', Velasquez A. G. ↓, Joanderson ↑,
65', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Pozantes S. ↑,
68', Moya J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Reyes A. ⚽,
77', Gomez H. 🟨,
77', Martinez D. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
82', Melendez C. 🟨,
84', Marinacci V. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
90+4', De Olivera R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.

Motagua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Motagua could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Motagua - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 45.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.08.26	Municipal - Motagua	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.08.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.26	Motagua - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Motagua - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTW
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olancho	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Olancho - Motagua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.05.26	Olancho - Motagua	0:2
09.05.26	Motagua - Olancho	1:2
23.04.26	Olancho - Motagua	0:0
01.03.26	Motagua - Olancho	1:1
20.11.25	Motagua - Olancho	3:2
09.08.25	Olancho - Motagua	3:1
12.03.25	Motagua - Olancho	1:0

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