The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olbia 22.8%
Draw 28.7%
SPAL 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
30.3%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
29.3%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olbia's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olbia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Olbia - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Olbia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. van der Want M. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 90. Catania L. 4. Dessena D. 27. Fabbri F. 26. Mameli A. 18. Nanni N. 17. Palomba L. 10. Ragatzu D. (C) 15. Zanchetta F.
22. Meneghetti M. (G) 8. Collodel R. 5. Contiliano N. 19. Dalmonte N. 2. Fiordaliso A. 24. Ghiringhelli L. 10. Petrovic T. 26. Siligardi L. 33. Tripaldelli A. 4. Valentini N. 21. Zilli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Siligardi L. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
37', Valentini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mameli A. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
46', Catania L. ↓, Biancu R. ↑,
50', Arboleda C. 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
57', Dessena D. ↓, Gennari M. ↑,
58', Arboleda C. ↓, Montebugnoli M. ↑,
63', Siligardi L. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
64', Petrovic T. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
68', Contiliano N. 🟨,
71', Ghiringhelli L. 🟨,
71', Dalmonte N. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
71', Contiliano N. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
81', Montebugnoli M. 🟨,
83', 1 - 3, Ragatzu D. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Zilli M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Olbia is Relegated to
Olbia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
SPAL is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match SPAL is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Italy
Watch
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van der Want M. (G) 
Arboleda C. 
Fabbri F. 
Petrovic T. 
Valentini N. 
