Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 14

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	SPAL		Pineto

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.83	3.3	4.33
	1.87	3.16	4.74
	1.95	3.18	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.79	3.22	4.38	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.27)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	4.31 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
50%

Draw
28.7%

Pineto
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pineto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pineto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 26. Bassoli A. 29. Nador S. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 80. Buchel M. 33. D'Orazio L. 77. Bidaoui S. 11. Rao E. 7. Antenucci M. (C)	22. Tonti A. (C) 98. Hadziosmanovic C. 28. Ingrosso G. 14. De Santis S. 11. Borsoi M. 99. Pellegrino A. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Chakir M. A. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
. Camelio U. . Cecchinato L. . Conte O. 8. El Kaddouri O. 17. Iglio G. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 21. Polito V. 10. Radrezza I.	6. Amadio S. 17. Baggi F. 87. Barretta M. (G) 27. Del Sole F. 23. Fabrizi L. 18. Giovannini A. 24. Marafini A. 1. Marone F. (G) 25. Marrancone A. 31. Nebuloso G. 5. Schirone L. 30. Villa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Lombardi L. 🟨,
31', Bidaoui S. 🟨,
38', Pellegrino A. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
40', Buchel M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Nebuloso G. ⚽,
45+3', Chakir M. A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Bidaoui S. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
61', Lombardi L. ↓, Amadio S. ↑,
61', Gambale D. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
71', Bidaoui S. 🟨,
72', Amadio S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pineto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SPAL is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.24	Ternana - SPAL	4:1 ✺
29.10.24	SPAL - Pianese	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Arezzo - SPAL	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	SPAL - Pescara	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Campobasso - SPAL	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.11.24	Pineto - Carpi	1:4 ✺
30.10.24	Milan Futuro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Pineto - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Pineto - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	SPAL - Pineto	2:0
16.12.23	Pineto - SPAL	1:1

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