Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Virtus Entella		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.49	3.65	6.2
	1.54	3.85	7.81
	1.55	3.58	7.11	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.56	3.74	6.23	Watch
	1.49	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	3.68 ↓ (3.92)	6.58 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
60.9%

Draw
25.1%

SPAL
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

23.1%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Virtus Entella - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Entella will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 70. Bariti D. 47. Di Noia G. 8. Karic N. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Casarotto M. 9. Castelli D.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 28. Calapai L. 26. Bassoli A. 19. Mignanelli D. 3. Bruscagin M. 20. Zammarini R. 4. Paghera F. 5. Awua T. 25. Molina J. I. 9. Karlsson O. 7. Antenucci M. (C)
Substitutes
27. Boccadamo A. 14. Corbari A. 11. Fall M. 77. Guiu B. 21. Lipani J. 5. Motoc A. 43. Ndrecka A. 90. Portanova D. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 12. Torrielli E. (G)	23. Arena M. 33. D'Orazio L. 6. Fiordaliso A. 90. Kane L. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 27. Parigini V. 10. Radrezza I. 11. Rao E. 40. Spini C. 31. Zenti A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Casarotto M. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Castelli D. ⚽,
21', Karic N. 🟨,
25', Awua T. 🟨,
33', Paghera F. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Karlsson O. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
46', Awua T. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
47', Molina J. I. 🟨,
56', D'Orazio L. 🟨,
59', Karic N. 🟨,
69', Molina J. I. 🟥,
86', Rao E. 🟨,
90', Di Mario S. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Parigini V. ⚽,
90+2', Bruscagin M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 1.

Virtus Entella in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SPAL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Virtus Entella to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.25	Pescara - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Virtus Entella - Pianese	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Carpi - Virtus Entella	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Ascoli - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
06.01.25	Virtus Entella - Rimini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
01.02.25	SPAL - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Carpi - SPAL	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Lucchese - SPAL	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	SPAL - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.09.24	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:2
14.04.24	Virtus Entella - SPAL	1:2
09.12.23	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0
Italian Serie B
12.03.21	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0
30.11.20	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:1
11.02.17	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:3
17.09.16	SPAL - Virtus Entella	2:2

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