The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 67%
Draw 21.4%
Olbia 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
23.3%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
22.2%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Perugia - Olbia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. 6. Vulikic S. 7. Paz Y. 4. Iannoni E. 33. Agosti L. 71. Bozzolan A. 20. Ricci F. 23. Lisi F. 9. Vazquez F.
22. van der Want M. (G) 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 26. Mameli A. 43. Montebugnoli M. 23. Arboleda C. 4. Dessena D. 21. Biancu R. 90. Catania L. 10. Ragatzu D. (C) 18. Nanni N.
Substitutes
1. Abibi A. (G) 16. Bartolomei P. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Cudrig N. 15. Dell'Orco C. 28. Kouan C. 73. Polizzi M. 11. Seghetti A. 91. Souare M. 45. Sylla Y. 24. Torrasi E. 96. Viti M. 58. Yimga D. R.
99. Bianchimano A. 27. Fabbri F. 12. Fraraccio D. (G) 29. Gennari M. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 17. Palomba L. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 2. Zallu F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Vazquez F. ⚽,
26', Vazquez F. 🟨,
41', Angella G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Iannoni E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mezzoni F. ↓, Souare M. ↑,
46', Mameli A. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
49', Biancu R. 🟨,
59', Agosti L. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
59', Paz Y. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
64', Catania L. ↓, Palomba L. ↑,
64', Biancu R. ↓, Incerti D. F. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Ricci F. ⚽,
67', Dessena D. 🟨,
70', Iannoni E. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
75', Palomba L. 🟨,
78', Nanni N. ↓, Bianchimano A. ↑,
78', Ricci F. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
80', Ragatzu D. ↓, Gennari M. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Olbia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Olbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Perugia is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.