Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)


	Oleksandriya		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.25	3.20
	2.22	3.1	3.2
	2.18	3.15	2.92
	2.05	3.36	3.75	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.3	3.17	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.27)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
42.3%

Draw
29.3%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Oleksandriya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Livyi Bereh will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Makarenko N. (G) 11. Shulyanskyi A. 26. Ferreira M. 50. Behiratche J. 23. Oharkov M. 20. Vashchenko D. 37. Yade P. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 10. Buletsa S. 27. Cara T. 99. Castillo B.	12. Zhmurko R. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 5. Samar V. 13. Kovalenko I. 6. Sidnney 44. Banada E. (C) 25. Kosovskyi S. 15. Voloshyn V. 10. Diego Henrique 7. Shastal D. 29. Wendell
Substitutes
17. Andreichyk A. 86. Bol A. 40. Chernysh D. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 29. Gasenu D. 44. Jhonnatan 83. Khan D. 77. Kremchanin D. 64. Kurlatov A. 67. Rodrigues M. 61. Stovba M. (G) 90. Vlasyuk D.	90. Bonsu N. 18. Dedukh R. 11. Galoyan S. 9. Gunichev Y. 37. Heresh R. 4. Kotukha I. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 22. Tishchenko V. 21. Voloshyn N. 17. Vorobchak N.
Coaches
Sharan V.	Ryabokon O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Yade P. ⚽,
27', Behiratche J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diego Henrique ↓, Vorobchak N. ↑,
46', Wendell ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
49', Vashchenko D. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Voloshyn V. ⚽, Voloshyn N. (A),
56', Yade P. 🟨,
64', Sidnney 🟨,
64', Myshnyov D. ↓, Chernysh D. ↑,
64', Castillo B. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
68', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Bol A. ↑,
75', Oharkov M. ↓, Vlasyuk D. ↑,
87', Sokolov O. 🟨,
88', Cara T. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Oleksandriya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Livyi Bereh is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Livyi Bereh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Oleksandriya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Livyi Bereg	6	1	4	1	4:3	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
23.05.26	Oleksandriya - Kryvbas	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	1:3 ✺
12.05.26	Oleksandriya - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Oleksandriya - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLL
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.06.26	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
29.03.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Oleksandriya	0:1
21.09.24	Oleksandriya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:0

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