Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Polissya Zhytomyr		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.55	1.78
	3.76	3.25	2.08
	3.55	3.14	2.13	Watch
	4.26	3.65	1.9	Watch
	4.1	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (3.98)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polissya Zhytomyr
23.8%

Draw
27.4%

Shakhtar Donetsk
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

24.8%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Volynets Y. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 19. Shepelev V. 8. Babenko R. 18. Andriyevski O. 22. Veleten V. 9. Filippov O. 45. Bragaru M.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 4. Marlon 13. Henrique P. 10. Pedrinho 29. Nazaryna Y. 27. Ocheretko O. 37. Lucas Ferreira 19. Kaua Elias 11. Newerton
Substitutes
21. Bushchan G. (G) 89. Gayduchyk M. 40. Goncalves A. 2. Hadroj A. 55. Krushynskyi B. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 60. Melnychenko M. 7. Nazarenko O. 6. Talles Costa 29. Tomandzoto B. 10. Yosefi T.	16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 7. Eguinaldo 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 20. Glushchenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 26. Konoplya Y. 49. Luca Meirelles 6. Marlon Gomes 22. Matviienko M. 9. Shved M.
Coaches
Rotan R.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ocheretko O. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
46', Veleten V. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
58', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
58', Shepelev V. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
65', Kaua Elias ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
65', Marlon ↓, Matviienko M. ↑,
74', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
74', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
75', Bondar V. 🟨,
81', Bragaru M. ↓, Krushynskyi B. ↑,
84', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
86', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
89', Rotan R. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Shakhtar is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Polissya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Poltava	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Veres Rivne - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Rukh Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
05.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Aberdeen - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.25	Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:4 ✺
22.09.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Polissya Stavky - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
23.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ET
Ukrainian Premier League
15.12.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0
11.08.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1
25.05.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:0
24.11.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0

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