Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Olginatese		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.46
	2.97	2.59	2.57
	2.9	2.64	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.24)	2.64 ↓ (3.34)	2.56 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olginatese
30.9%

Draw
34%

Folgore Caratese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.4%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.8%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olginatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folgore Caratese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olginatese than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olginatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore Caratese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Folgore Caratese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olginatese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Olginatese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Olginatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.01.22	Leon - Olginatese	0:2 ✺
22.12.21	Olginatese - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Sona - Olginatese	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Olginatese - Vis Nova Giussano	2:3 ✺
08.12.21	Franciacorta - Olginatese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.01.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Folgore Caratese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:0 ✺
19.01.22	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
19.09.21	Folgore Caratese - Olginatese	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.04.18	Folgore Caratese - Olginatese	1:1
26.11.17	Olginatese - Folgore Caratese	0:2

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