Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Olimp Dolgoprudny		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.6	4	4.25
	1.67	3.65	3.85
	1.74	3.94	4.09
	1.71	3.88	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	4.16 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimp Dolgoprudny
54.2%

Draw
23.9%

Rodina Moscow
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

17.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimp Dolgoprudny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimp Dolgoprudny than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimp Dolgoprudny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimp Dolgoprudny - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 and 6).

Olimp Dolgoprudny is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimp Dolgoprudny is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Olimp Dolgoprudny won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimp Dolgoprudny won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimp Dolgoprudny
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.10.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Olimp Dolgoprudny	3:1 ✺
09.10.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:2 ✺
03.10.20	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Murom	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Zenit 2	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Olimp Dolgoprudny	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWW
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
13.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Volga Tver	2:3 ✺
09.10.20	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Smolensk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
26.09.20	Murom - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
09.11.19	Rodina Moscow - Olimp Dolgoprudny	1:2
16.08.19	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Rodina Moscow	2:0

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