Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Rodina Moscow		Volga Tver

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2	3.5	3
	2.03	3.35	2.95
	2.08	3.75	3.03
	2.1	3.54	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	2.94 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
43.3%

Draw
25.8%

Volga Tver
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

18.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Volga Tver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volga Tver could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Volga Tver could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.10.20	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Smolensk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
26.09.20	Murom - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
21.09.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWTT
- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.10.20	Murom - Volga Tver	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Volga Tver - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	4:1 ✺
27.09.20	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Zenit 2 - Volga Tver	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Volga Tver	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.20	Rodina Moscow - Volga Tver	1:1

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