Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Fedorov A. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.73	6.06
	1.6	3.65	5.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	5.99 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
58.6%

Draw
25.6%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Yenisey (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yenisey (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. 3. Goglichidze L. 99. Timoshenko I. 77. Koryan A. 10. Reyna Y. 6. Fishchenko R. 18. Abdusalamov M. 9. Maksimenko A.	50. Shamov E. (G) 5. Emerson 22. Gyurdzhan A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 55. Bogatyrev N. 87. Mazurin A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 7. Chukanov A. 17. Zazvonkin I. 24. Pogosov A. 9. Ratkovic L.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 5. Egorychev A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 7. Gueye P. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 17. Postnikov N. 71. Svinov I. (G) 4. Tananeev D. 19. Tikhonov D. 23. Ushatov K.	1. Antipin S. (G) 20. Belem A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 49. Kenfak O. 11. Khashkulov A. 19. Krotov V. 75. Okladnikov A. 23. Savin N.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Tikhonov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Timoshenko I. (Pen),
40', Timoshenko I. 🟨,
43', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
45', Bogatyrev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ratkovic L. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
46', Zazvonkin I. ↓, Khashkulov A. ↑,
53', Abdusalamov M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
64', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Okladnikov A. ↑,
69', Koryan A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
69', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
77', Bogatyrev N. ↓, Gilyazetdinov A. ↑,
77', Pogosov A. ↓, Savin N. ↑,
78', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
78', Reyna Y. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
87', Maksimenko A. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.

Rodina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Yenisey has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rodina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5 ✺
29.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTT
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ural	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
08.03.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	0:0
12.10.24	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1
26.11.23	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1
10.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2
29.04.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	0:1
09.10.22	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0

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