Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerro Porteño		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.90	7.00	Watch
	1.57	3.50	5.25
	1.48	4.00	6.40	Watch
	1.46	4.40	7.27
	1.67	3.7	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4.35	6.80
	1.48	4.20	6.33	Watch
	1.42	3.85	6.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)	3.99 ↑ (3.67)	6.32 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
62.1%

Draw
23.3%

Sportivo Luqueño
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Porteño's performance.

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Sportivo Luqueño (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roffo M. (G) 4. Canete Torres A. D. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 15. Riveros B. 26. Piris R. 27. Torres J. 5. Morel J. 8. Dominguez F. 10. Dominguez C. 19. Vegetti P.	1. Campisi N. (G) 3. Brizuela A. 5. Diaz J. 28. Balbuena A. 4. Morales L. 8. Maiz A. 24. Beltran S. 22. Ocampos S. 37. Comas L. (C) 9. Gonzalez W. 11. Ruiz O.
Substitutes
13. Benitez A. G. 32. Bobadilla C. 34. Chena C. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 18. Gamarra A. 40. Klimowicz M. 36. Noguera F. 24. Nunez A. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 16. Ramirez I. 7. Rodriguez D.	2. Barreto M. 14. Benitez F. 10. Bogado G. 40. Espinola A. (G) 20. Maggi I. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 29. Muro T. 21. Ojeda M. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J. 6. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Holan A.	Lopez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Morel J. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽,
43', Diaz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Riveros B. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
46', Dominguez F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
46', Ocampos S. ↓, Maggi I. ↑,
46', Beltran S. ↓, Bogado G. ↑,
52', Torres J. 🟨,
54', Torres J. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Morel J. ⚽,
62', Comas L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
62', Gonzalez W. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
65', Dominguez C. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
76', Benitez A. G. 🟨,
77', Piris R. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
77', Ruiz O. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
79', Rodriguez D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3.

Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.19%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.26	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LLWWW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.07.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
31.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	2:3
02.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0
27.09.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	0:1
20.07.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0
12.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0
29.01.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:1
05.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	1:0

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